Quantamental Hybrid Desk
Mason Lee & Auto Desk · Quantamental Investment Research
March 5, 2026 · 10:00 AM KST KR STOCK PICK OW — Overweight
LIG넥스원
733,000
▲ 114,000 (+18.42%)
한화에어로
1,425,000
▲ 102,000 (+7.71%)
현대로템
227,000
▲ 25,000 (+12.38%)
한국항공우주
183,500
▲ 25,000 (+15.77%)

LIG넥스원: Air Defense Bottleneck Created by Iran Situation,
Structural Beneficiary of K-Defense

Global demand for air defense systems is soaring due to the resurgence of geopolitical risks in the Middle East. LIG Nex1, which has the Cheongung-II export momentum and a backlog of 26 trillion won, has entered a structural growth trajectory beyond short-term events.

26.2조
Order Backlog (End of 2025) · 6x Annual Sales
+44.5%
2025 Operating Profit Growth Rate YoY
710,000원
Hana Securities Target Price (2026.03.03)

I. Executive Summary

"The bottleneck in air defense systems will not be resolved even after the Iran situation ends.
A new arms race cycle has begun, with the world stockpiling air defense."

— CIO / Portfolio Manager Agent

FACT As of 10:00 AM on March 5, 2026, domestic defense stocks are all soaring. LIG Nex1 (079550) is trading at 733,000 won, up +18.42% from the previous day, and the entire defense sector, including Hanwha Aerospace (+7.71%), Hyundai Rotem (+12.38%), and Korea Aerospace Industries (+15.77%), is rising together. (Source: KIS MCP real-time quotes, 2026-03-05 10:00 KST)

FACT The catalyst for the surge is the US-Israeli coalition's airstrike on Iran. As the Middle East conflict intensified in early March 2026, reports of shelling of the Strait of Hormuz and US military casualties emerged. As a result, demand for global air defense systems and interceptor missiles is soaring, and expectations for orders for K-defense are exploding. (Source: Herald Economy, Financial News, New Daily, 2026-03-03~05)

INFERENCE This report recommends LIG Nex1 (079550) among defense stocks as the stock with the highest potential for continued rapid growth in the future. The reasons are clear: ① Acceleration of Cheongung-II exports due to global air defense system inventory shortages, ② Securing earnings visibility for the next several years with an order backlog of 26.2 trillion won (6 times annual sales), ③ Institutional investors' net buying for 7 consecutive days and foreigners turning to inflows, ④ Hana Securities raised its target price to 710,000 won (March 3).

CIO / Portfolio Manager
LIG Nex1 is a textbook example of the 'Own the Bottleneck' strategy. After the Iran situation, global air defense missile inventories are depleted, and Cheongung-II is becoming an alternative to Patriot and is expanding its presence in the Middle East market. This bottleneck is a structural phenomenon that will last for at least 3-5 years, even if the geopolitical conflict ends. Confidence: High · Direction: Bullish
Truce agreement between Iran and the US + Global defense budget cuts + Technical defects in Cheongung-II will invalidate the argument

II. Macro Environment: Geopolitical Risks and Global Arms Race Cycle